Vanderbilt team develops COVID-19 predictive model for Tennessee

A team including health economists, epidemiologists and a biostatistician at Vanderbilt University Medical Center and Vanderbilt University are amassing and processing data to develop a complex predictive model of the spread of COVID-19 within Tennessee, with region-specific projections, as well as a model of projected resource use during response to the pandemic.

“We’ve got a modeling team at Vanderbilt that’s been working together for six or seven years on precision medicine topics, so creating simulation models of disease progression and resource use within the U.S. health system is not anything foreign to us,” said John Graves, PhD, associate professor of Health Policy. “But doing this so fast, and with such a novel and fast-moving disease, has been a new challenge for us.